Italy • Top 5 • 2026/2027 Season

Serie A xG Table & AI Predictions

Quantitative match projections, Expected Points (xPTS) over/under-performance, and live bookmaker odds-drop monitoring.

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Upcoming Serie A Fixtures & Match Dossiers

20 scheduled

Fri 06 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Venezia vs

Udinese

1: 50.1% · X: 23.5% · 2: 26.4% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Cagliari vs

Frosinone

1: 40.3% · X: 24.2% · 2: 35.5% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Torino vs

Lecce

1: 45.6% · X: 25.8% · 2: 28.5% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Parma vs

Bologna

1: 27.9% · X: 28.4% · 2: 43.7% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Roma vs

Sassuolo

🔒 Sovereign VIP Pick Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 11:30 UTC

Napoli vs

Lazio

1: 43.3% · X: 25.9% · 2: 30.7% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Genoa vs

Milan

1: 29.8% · X: 28.2% · 2: 42% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Monza vs

Atalanta

1: 48% · X: 24.3% · 2: 27.8% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Inter vs

Como

1: 58.4% · X: 20.7% · 2: 20.9% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Fiorentina vs

Juventus

1: 36.1% · X: 28.8% · 2: 35.1% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Como vs

Cagliari

1: 57.2% · X: 23% · 2: 19.8% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Lazio vs

Lecce

1: 55.5% · X: 23.5% · 2: 21% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Parma vs

Roma

1: 21.9% · X: 24.3% · 2: 53.9% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Napoli vs

Torino

1: 52.7% · X: 24.8% · 2: 22.5% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 11:30 UTC

Juventus vs

Venezia

1: 55.3% · X: 24.9% · 2: 19.8% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Bologna vs

Udinese

1: 56% · X: 23.4% · 2: 20.6% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Sassuolo vs

Genoa

1: 44.2% · X: 27.7% · 2: 28.1% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Milan vs

Frosinone

1: 51.8% · X: 22.5% · 2: 25.8% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Atalanta vs

Inter

1: 26.4% · X: 22.2% · 2: 51.3% Full Dossier →

Mon 23 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Monza vs

Fiorentina

1: 44.5% · X: 25.4% · 2: 30.1% Full Dossier →

2026/27 Serie A xG & Expected Points (xPTS) Table

Positive Luck Index (PTS - xPTS) indicates points overperformance; negative indicates teams due for positive regression.

#	Club	MP	W-D-L	GF:GA	GD	PTS	xG	xGA	xPTS	Luck (PTS−xPTS)
1	Lazio	10	9-1-0	24:8	+16	28	16.5	11.3	17.0	+11.0
2	Inter	10	8-1-1	26:13	+13	25	27.2	10.7	23.7	+1.3
3	Roma	10	7-3-0	28:10	+18	24	22.8	14.2	19.1	+4.9
4	Como	10	7-2-1	18:8	+10	23	18.3	12.5	18.0	+5.0
5	Milan	10	6-3-1	21:12	+9	21	17.7	13.2	16.2	+4.8
6	Frosinone	10	6-2-2	24:14	+10	20	18.2	21.4	12.2	+7.8
7	Juventus	10	5-2-3	13:10	+3	17	13.6	5.9	19.7	-2.7
8	Napoli	10	4-2-4	17:13	+4	14	17.4	12.9	16.9	-2.9
9	Bologna	10	4-2-4	14:13	+1	14	14.7	13.5	15.1	-1.1
10	Torino	10	4-1-5	14:16	-2	13	12.3	15.4	11.4	+1.6
11	Genoa	10	4-1-5	10:14	-4	13	9.1	13.2	10.5	+2.5
12	Cagliari	10	4-1-5	9:15	-6	13	12.5	18.4	10.5	+2.5
13	Atalanta	10	3-2-5	16:20	-4	11	15.8	18.3	11.8	-0.8
14	Lecce	10	3-0-7	11:21	-10	9	13.7	19.9	9.8	-0.8
15	Parma	10	2-2-6	8:15	-7	8	7.8	17.9	7.1	+0.9
16	Fiorentina	10	2-2-6	15:23	-8	8	15.7	14.8	15.2	-7.2
17	Sassuolo	10	2-2-6	16:26	-10	8	14.0	18.4	11.4	-3.4
18	Monza	10	2-1-7	17:24	-7	7	16.1	14.7	14.7	-7.7
19	Udinese	10	1-2-7	11:23	-12	5	12.0	22.8	8.4	-3.4
20	Venezia	10	1-0-9	6:20	-14	3	14.6	20.6	10.4	-7.4