Netherlands • Secondary Elite • 2026/2027 Season

Eredivisie xG Table & AI Predictions

Quantitative match projections, Expected Points (xPTS) over/under-performance, and live bookmaker odds-drop monitoring.

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Upcoming Eredivisie Fixtures & Match Dossiers

20 scheduled

Fri 06 Nov, 19:00 UTC

Willem II vs

PEC Zwolle

1: 41.5% · X: 25.1% · 2: 33.3% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 15:30 UTC

Fortuna Sittard vs

Telstar

1: 35.1% · X: 25.8% · 2: 39.1% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 17:45 UTC

ADO Den Haag vs

Sparta Rotterdam

1: 32.5% · X: 24.3% · 2: 43.2% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Excelsior vs

Go Ahead Eagles

1: 31.8% · X: 24.6% · 2: 43.6% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 11:15 UTC

SC Heerenveen vs

Feyenoord

1: 27.5% · X: 22.9% · 2: 49.7% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 13:30 UTC

FC Twente vs

Ajax

1: 52.3% · X: 21.5% · 2: 26.1% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 15:45 UTC

Cambuur vs

PSV Eindhoven

1: 29.3% · X: 23.3% · 2: 47.5% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 15:45 UTC

AZ Alkmaar vs

FC Groningen

1: 58.2% · X: 20.3% · 2: 21.5% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 19:00 UTC

FC Utrecht vs

NEC Nijmegen

1: 39.2% · X: 24.5% · 2: 36.2% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 15:30 UTC

NEC Nijmegen vs

PSV Eindhoven

1: 32.3% · X: 22.7% · 2: 45% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Feyenoord vs

Excelsior

1: 73.3% · X: 16.2% · 2: 10.5% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 17:45 UTC

FC Utrecht vs

Cambuur

1: 40.7% · X: 25.3% · 2: 33.9% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Telstar vs

PEC Zwolle

1: 45% · X: 25.2% · 2: 29.8% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 UTC

FC Groningen vs

SC Heerenveen

1: 44.2% · X: 23.3% · 2: 32.4% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 11:15 UTC

FC Twente vs

Willem II

1: 72.2% · X: 16.7% · 2: 11.1% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 13:30 UTC

Ajax vs

ADO Den Haag

1: 66.3% · X: 19.1% · 2: 14.5% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 13:30 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam vs

AZ Alkmaar

1: 37.3% · X: 22.8% · 2: 40% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 15:45 UTC

Go Ahead Eagles vs

Fortuna Sittard

1: 63.6% · X: 20.5% · 2: 15.9% Full Dossier →

Fri 27 Nov, 19:00 UTC

FC Groningen vs

Willem II

1: 55.3% · X: 21.2% · 2: 23.6% Full Dossier →

Sat 28 Nov, 15:30 UTC

Excelsior vs

Telstar

1: 41.3% · X: 25.2% · 2: 33.6% Full Dossier →

2026/27 Eredivisie xG & Expected Points (xPTS) Table

Positive Luck Index (PTS - xPTS) indicates points overperformance; negative indicates teams due for positive regression.

#	Club	MP	W-D-L	GF:GA	GD	PTS	xG	xGA	xPTS	Luck (PTS−xPTS)
1	Feyenoord	11	7-4-0	33:12	+21	25	29.9	10.9	26.4	-1.4
2	Ajax	11	7-3-1	30:13	+17	24	26.0	15.9	21.4	+2.7
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7-2-2	35:13	+22	23	27.8	13.8	23.5	-0.5
4	FC Twente	11	7-2-2	28:10	+18	23	26.8	8.9	24.7	-1.7
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	6-2-3	20:13	+7	20	24.7	13.3	21.4	-1.4
6	Fortuna Sittard	11	5-4-2	18:18	0	19	9.7	25.6	7.3	+11.7
7	SC Heerenveen	11	5-3-3	19:13	+6	18	17.8	17.5	15.3	+2.7
8	FC Groningen	11	4-3-4	26:24	+2	15	20.6	23.4	15.0	0.0
9	Cambuur	11	4-3-4	23:22	+1	15	16.4	18.6	13.8	+1.2
10	Go Ahead Eagles	11	3-5-3	23:27	-4	14	20.7	18.2	16.2	-2.2
11	Sparta Rotterdam	11	3-3-5	20:26	-6	12	22.0	21.4	15.8	-3.8
12	FC Utrecht	11	3-3-5	19:31	-12	12	15.3	21.2	13.0	-1.0
13	NEC Nijmegen	11	2-5-4	17:19	-2	11	19.1	19.8	14.9	-3.9
14	PEC Zwolle	11	3-2-6	12:23	-11	11	12.9	20.8	10.7	+0.3
15	Excelsior	11	3-2-6	16:28	-12	11	13.0	23.3	11.5	-0.5
16	Telstar	11	2-3-6	16:23	-7	9	15.1	22.8	11.0	-2.0
17	ADO Den Haag	11	1-3-7	13:24	-11	6	11.6	21.9	9.1	-3.1
18	Willem II	11	0-2-9	10:39	-29	2	14.4	26.4	7.9	-5.9