Sun 01 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC
Lecce
Rank #14 · 9 pts
1 – 2
Full Time
Genoa
Rank #11 · 13 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
42.6%
Fair: 2.35
Draw (X)
27.7%
Fair: 3.61
Away Win (2)
29.8%
Fair: 3.36
Over 2.5 Goals
51.7%
Fair: 1.93
BTTS: Yes
56.4%
Fair: 1.77
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Lecce | Metric | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| #14 (9 pts) | League Rank & Points | #11 (13 pts) |
| 3W-0D-7L | Season Record (10 MP) | 4W-1D-5L |
| 11 : 21 | Goals For : Against | 10 : 14 |
| 13.7 / 19.9 | Season xG / xGA | 9.1 / 13.2 |
| 9.8 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 10.5 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
9 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.35 | 1.91 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_ESP | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 1.95 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_GBR | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 1.95 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_MUS | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.35 ↓13% | 1.91 |
| Novibet | 3.33 | 3.13 | 2.37 | 1.83 |
| Paddy Power | 34.00 | 5.00 | 1.20 ↓16.7% | - |
| Tipico | 40.00 | 4.60 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Unibet / Stake | 3.30 | 2.75 | 2.30 ↓13.2% | 1.70 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-24
1 - 0
2025-08-23
0 - 0
2025-03-14
2 - 1
2025-01-05
0 - 0
2024-01-28
2 - 1