Germany
•
Top 5
•
2026/2027 Season
Bundesliga xG Table & AI Predictions
Quantitative match projections, Expected Points (xPTS) over/under-performance, and live bookmaker odds-drop monitoring.
Upcoming Bundesliga Fixtures & Match Dossiers
20 scheduled
Fri 06 Nov, 19:30 UTC
Hamburger SV
vs
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1: 39% · X: 25.4% · 2: 35.5%
Full Dossier →
Sat 07 Nov, 14:30 UTC
Borussia Dortmund
vs
Elversberg
1: 52.1% · X: 23.6% · 2: 24.3%
Full Dossier →
Sat 07 Nov, 14:30 UTC
Mainz 05
vs
Bayern München
1: 27.3% · X: 20.1% · 2: 52.6%
Full Dossier →
Sat 07 Nov, 14:30 UTC
Paderborn
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
1: 36.8% · X: 25.9% · 2: 37.3%
Full Dossier →
Sat 07 Nov, 14:30 UTC
RB Leipzig
vs
Augsburg
1: 61.7% · X: 18% · 2: 20.3%
Full Dossier →
Sat 07 Nov, 17:30 UTC
VfB Stuttgart
vs
Werder Bremen
1: 43.8% · X: 22.2% · 2: 33.9%
Full Dossier →
Sun 08 Nov, 14:30 UTC
1. FC Köln
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
1: 41.3% · X: 24.1% · 2: 34.6%
Full Dossier →
Sun 08 Nov, 16:30 UTC
Freiburg
vs
Union Berlin
🔒 Sovereign VIP Pick
Full Dossier →
Sun 08 Nov, 18:30 UTC
Hoffenheim
vs
Schalke 04
1: 63.5% · X: 21.2% · 2: 15.3%
Full Dossier →
Fri 20 Nov, 19:30 UTC
Bayern München
vs
1. FC Köln
1: 73.9% · X: 15% · 2: 11.1%
Full Dossier →
Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 UTC
Bayer Leverkusen
vs
Paderborn
1: 56.4% · X: 22.8% · 2: 20.8%
Full Dossier →
Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 UTC
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
Borussia Dortmund
1: 39.8% · X: 24.6% · 2: 35.6%
Full Dossier →
Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 UTC
Eintracht Frankfurt
vs
Hoffenheim
1: 37.8% · X: 24% · 2: 38.1%
Full Dossier →
Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 UTC
Elversberg
vs
Freiburg
1: 32.1% · X: 25.1% · 2: 42.8%
Full Dossier →
Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 UTC
Union Berlin
vs
RB Leipzig
1: 23.3% · X: 22.8% · 2: 53.8%
Full Dossier →
Sat 21 Nov, 17:30 UTC
Schalke 04
vs
VfB Stuttgart
1: 34.7% · X: 23.5% · 2: 41.7%
Full Dossier →
Sun 22 Nov, 14:30 UTC
Augsburg
vs
Mainz 05
1: 38.4% · X: 21.5% · 2: 40.1%
Full Dossier →
Sun 22 Nov, 16:30 UTC
Werder Bremen
vs
Hamburger SV
1: 55.8% · X: 23.6% · 2: 20.6%
Full Dossier →
Fri 27 Nov, 19:30 UTC
Werder Bremen
vs
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1: 51.7% · X: 22.5% · 2: 25.8%
Full Dossier →
Sat 28 Nov, 14:30 UTC
1. FC Köln
vs
Elversberg
1: 51.8% · X: 23.6% · 2: 24.6%
Full Dossier →
2026/27 Bundesliga xG & Expected Points (xPTS) Table
Positive Luck Index (PTS - xPTS) indicates points overperformance; negative indicates teams due for positive regression.
| # | Club | MP | W-D-L | GF:GA | GD | PTS | xG | xGA | xPTS | Luck (PTS−xPTS) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | +19 | 18 | 28.3 | 7.2 | 22.3 | -4.3 |
| 2 |
|
8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | +8 | 18 | 12.3 | 11.8 | 12.9 | +5.1 |
| 3 |
|
8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | +8 | 16 | 13.9 | 9.7 | 14.0 | +2.0 |
| 4 |
|
8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | +11 | 15 | 20.2 | 11.5 | 16.0 | -1.0 |
| 5 |
|
8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | +3 | 15 | 13.9 | 12.8 | 11.6 | +3.5 |
| 6 |
|
8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | +2 | 13 | 16.0 | 14.2 | 12.8 | +0.2 |
| 7 |
|
8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 0 | 13 | 11.3 | 17.2 | 7.1 | +5.9 |
| 8 |
|
8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 | 14.0 | 15.7 | 10.5 | +0.5 |
| 9 |
|
8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 0 | 10 | 16.9 | 12.4 | 14.1 | -4.1 |
| 10 |
|
8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | +3 | 9 | 16.5 | 20.8 | 8.8 | +0.2 |
| 11 |
|
8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | -1 | 9 | 16.5 | 19.3 | 10.2 | -1.2 |
| 12 |
|
8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 | 15.2 | 10.4 | 13.9 | -4.9 |
| 13 |
|
8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 | 12.3 | 12.2 | 11.3 | -2.3 |
| 14 |
|
8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 | 8.1 | 13.2 | 7.5 | +1.5 |
| 15 |
|
8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | -12 | 9 | 8.1 | 14.7 | 6.8 | +2.2 |
| 16 |
|
8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | -12 | 7 | 8.3 | 15.2 | 7.7 | -0.7 |
| 17 |
|
8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 | 7.7 | 16.6 | 5.5 | +0.5 |
| 18 |
|
8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | -11 | 4 | 12.9 | 17.3 | 8.9 | -4.9 |
Recent Bundesliga Results & Post-Match xG Audits
01 Nov 2026
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 – 1
Hamburger SV
Match Report →
01 Nov 2026
Union Berlin
1 – 1
1. FC Köln
Match Report →
31 Oct 2026
Bayern München
2 – 2
Borussia Dortmund
Match Report →
31 Oct 2026
Werder Bremen
2 – 0
Hoffenheim
Match Report →
31 Oct 2026
Schalke 04
0 – 2
RB Leipzig
Match Report →
31 Oct 2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 – 0
Paderborn
Match Report →
31 Oct 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
2 – 4
VfB Stuttgart
Match Report →
31 Oct 2026
Augsburg
1 – 2
Freiburg
Match Report →
30 Oct 2026
Elversberg
4 – 1
Mainz 05
Match Report →
25 Oct 2026
Freiburg
1 – 3
Bayern München
Match Report →
25 Oct 2026
Hoffenheim
3 – 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Match Report →
24 Oct 2026
Borussia Dortmund
1 – 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Match Report →
17-League European Quantitative Coverage
England · Premier League
Spain · LaLiga
Italy · Serie A
Germany · Bundesliga
France · Ligue 1
Netherlands · Eredivisie
Belgium · Belgian Pro League
Portugal · Liga Portugal
Turkey · Turkish Super Lig
Italy · Serie B
Scotland · Scottish Premiership
Austria · Austrian Bundesliga
Denmark · Danish Superliga
Russia · Russian Premier League
Czechia · Czech 1. Liga
Romania · Romanian SuperLiga
Hungary · Hungarian NB I