Mon 02 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC
Sassuolo
Rank #17 · 8 pts
2 – 4
Full Time
Fiorentina
Rank #16 · 8 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
38.4%
Fair: 2.60
Draw (X)
25.8%
Fair: 3.88
Away Win (2)
35.8%
Fair: 2.79
Over 2.5 Goals
60.8%
Fair: 1.64
BTTS: Yes
63.8%
Fair: 1.57
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Sassuolo | Metric | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| #17 (8 pts) | League Rank & Points | #16 (8 pts) |
| 2W-2D-6L | Season Record (10 MP) | 2W-2D-6L |
| 16 : 26 | Goals For : Against | 15 : 23 |
| 14.0 / 18.4 | Season xG / xGA | 15.7 / 14.8 |
| 11.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 15.2 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
9 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.25 ↓4.3% | 1.50 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_ESP | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 1.53 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_GBR | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 1.53 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_MUS | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.53 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.25 ↓4.3% | 1.50 |
| Novibet | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.45 | - |
| Paddy Power | 501.00 | 17.00 | 1.03 ↓54.2% | - |
| Tipico | 100.00 | 7.50 | 1.06 ↓66.9% | 1.35 |
| Unibet / Stake | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.20 | 1.45 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-26
0 - 0
2025-12-06
3 - 1
2024-04-28
5 - 1
2024-01-06
1 - 0
2023-06-02
1 - 3