Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Genoa
Rank #11 · 13 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.20 – 1.46
Milan
Rank #5 · 21 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
29.8%
Fair: 3.36
Draw (X)
28.2%
Fair: 3.55
Away Win (2)
42.0%
Fair: 2.38
Over 2.5 Goals
49.7%
Fair: 2.01
BTTS: Yes
54.9%
Fair: 1.82
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Genoa | Metric | Milan |
|---|---|---|
| #11 (13 pts) | League Rank & Points | #5 (21 pts) |
| 4W-1D-5L | Season Record (10 MP) | 6W-3D-1L |
| 10 : 14 | Goals For : Against | 21 : 12 |
| 9.1 / 13.2 | Season xG / xGA | 17.7 / 13.2 |
| 10.5 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 16.2 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.84 | 3.73 | 1.85 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 1.91 |
| Betfred | 4.40 | 3.70 | 1.75 | 1.90 |
| Bwin | 4.60 | 3.70 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Caliente | 4.40 | 3.55 | 1.82 | - |
| Interwetten | 4.60 | 3.55 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| Letsbet | 4.60 | 3.70 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Novibet | 4.84 | 3.73 | 1.85 | 1.93 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 1.91 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 1.91 |
| Tipico | 4.90 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Unibet | 4.60 | 3.70 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Unibet / Stake | 4.60 | 3.70 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Winamax | 4.45 | 3.65 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-17
1 - 2
2026-01-08
1 - 1
2025-05-05
1 - 2
2024-12-15
0 - 0
2024-05-05
3 - 3