England • Top 5 • 2026/2027 Season

Premier League xG Table & AI Predictions

Quantitative match projections, Expected Points (xPTS) over/under-performance, and live bookmaker odds-drop monitoring.

Open Live Market Radar →

Upcoming Premier League Fixtures & Match Dossiers

20 scheduled

Fri 06 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Everton vs

Coventry City

1: 49.4% · X: 27.3% · 2: 23.4% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 12:30 UTC

Leeds United vs

Tottenham Hotspur

1: 38.7% · X: 29.2% · 2: 32.1% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Arsenal vs

Hull City

1: 57.9% · X: 25.3% · 2: 16.7% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Fulham vs

Newcastle United

1: 51.8% · X: 25.1% · 2: 23.1% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 17:30 UTC

Nottingham Forest vs

Manchester City

🔒 Sovereign VIP Pick Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Brighton & Hove Albion vs

Brentford

1: 48.8% · X: 24.2% · 2: 27% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Crystal Palace vs

Liverpool

1: 31.6% · X: 26.6% · 2: 41.8% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Ipswich Town vs

AFC Bournemouth

1: 31.5% · X: 25.9% · 2: 42.6% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Sunderland vs

Chelsea

1: 40.3% · X: 26.1% · 2: 33.7% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 16:30 UTC

Manchester United vs

Aston Villa

1: 48.4% · X: 25.2% · 2: 26.3% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 UTC

Manchester City vs

Fulham

1: 52.3% · X: 23.6% · 2: 24.1% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC

AFC Bournemouth vs

Nottingham Forest

1: 44.1% · X: 26.5% · 2: 29.5% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Aston Villa vs

Sunderland

1: 40.6% · X: 26.3% · 2: 33.1% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Chelsea vs

Leeds United

1: 45% · X: 27.2% · 2: 27.8% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Coventry City vs

Crystal Palace

1: 43.9% · X: 27.1% · 2: 29% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Tottenham Hotspur vs

Ipswich Town

1: 49.5% · X: 26% · 2: 24.5% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 17:30 UTC

Newcastle United vs

Arsenal

1: 26.4% · X: 27.5% · 2: 46.1% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Hull City vs

Brighton & Hove Albion

1: 30.7% · X: 26.7% · 2: 42.6% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 16:30 UTC

Liverpool vs

Manchester United

1: 46.6% · X: 25.8% · 2: 27.7% Full Dossier →

Mon 23 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Brentford vs

Everton

1: 46.1% · X: 26.1% · 2: 27.8% Full Dossier →

2026/27 Premier League xG & Expected Points (xPTS) Table

Positive Luck Index (PTS - xPTS) indicates points overperformance; negative indicates teams due for positive regression.

#	Club	MP	W-D-L	GF:GA	GD	PTS	xG	xGA	xPTS	Luck (PTS−xPTS)
1	Arsenal	9	8-0-1	14:5	+9	24	14.9	7.2	18.1	+5.9
2	Manchester City	9	7-0-2	20:10	+10	21	18.3	11.7	17.2	+3.8
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	9	6-1-2	24:7	+17	19	17.2	13.0	14.7	+4.3
4	Chelsea	9	5-1-3	19:15	+4	16	13.3	12.6	12.9	+3.2
5	Liverpool	9	4-3-2	11:9	+2	15	13.2	10.6	14.1	+0.9
6	Brentford	9	3-5-1	16:9	+7	14	14.0	12.7	12.3	+1.8
7	Everton	9	3-4-2	9:9	0	13	12.4	13.0	11.9	+1.1
8	AFC Bournemouth	9	3-3-3	14:13	+1	12	15.8	10.0	15.5	-3.5
9	Tottenham Hotspur	9	3-3-3	10:10	0	12	11.7	10.1	13.7	-1.7
10	Aston Villa	9	3-3-3	10:13	-3	12	10.9	15.1	10.4	+1.6
11	Hull City	9	2-5-2	11:10	+1	11	9.1	13.2	9.1	+1.9
12	Leeds United	9	2-5-2	9:8	+1	11	11.2	11.8	11.8	-0.8
13	Newcastle United	9	3-2-4	12:15	-3	11	10.4	16.0	8.3	+2.7
14	Ipswich Town	9	3-2-4	14:18	-4	11	12.3	17.2	10.0	+1.0
15	Fulham	9	2-3-4	9:11	-2	9	13.7	12.8	13.1	-4.1
16	Coventry City	9	3-0-6	9:16	-7	9	8.3	13.7	8.5	+0.5
17	Manchester United	9	1-4-4	10:15	-5	7	14.0	15.0	11.2	-4.2
18	Crystal Palace	9	2-1-6	9:21	-12	7	11.2	19.2	7.9	-0.9
19	Nottingham Forest	9	1-3-5	6:12	-6	6	14.6	9.3	16.1	-10.1
20	Sunderland	9	1-2-6	7:17	-10	5	13.2	15.7	12.1	-7.1