Sun 08 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC
Napoli
Rank #8 · 14 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.68 – 1.39
Lazio
Rank #1 · 28 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
43.3%
Fair: 2.31
Draw (X)
25.9%
Fair: 3.86
Away Win (2)
30.7%
Fair: 3.26
Over 2.5 Goals
59.0%
Fair: 1.69
BTTS: Yes
62.0%
Fair: 1.61
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Napoli | Metric | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| #8 (14 pts) | League Rank & Points | #1 (28 pts) |
| 4W-2D-4L | Season Record (10 MP) | 9W-1D-0L |
| 17 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 24 : 8 |
| 17.4 / 12.9 | Season xG / xGA | 16.5 / 11.3 |
| 16.9 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 17.0 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.83 | 3.35 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Betfred | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.95 | 1.60 |
| Bwin | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.95 | 1.60 |
| Caliente | 2.12 | 3.70 | 3.15 | - |
| Interwetten | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.15 | 1.60 |
| Letsbet | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Novibet | 2.20 | 3.65 | 3.10 | 1.62 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.62 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.62 |
| Tipico | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Unibet | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Unibet / Stake | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 ↓17.8% | 1.60 |
| Winamax | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.60 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-18
0 - 2
2026-01-04
0 - 2
2025-02-15
2 - 2
2024-12-08
0 - 1
2024-12-05
3 - 1