Thu 29 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC
Fiorentina
Rank #16 · 8 pts
2 – 2
Full Time
Match xG: 1.51 – 1.01
Atalanta
Rank #13 · 11 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
47.3%
Fair: 2.11
Draw (X)
24.5%
Fair: 4.08
Away Win (2)
28.3%
Fair: 3.53
Over 2.5 Goals
63.9%
Fair: 1.56
BTTS: Yes
65.1%
Fair: 1.54
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Fiorentina | Metric | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| #16 (8 pts) | League Rank & Points | #13 (11 pts) |
| 2W-2D-6L | Season Record (10 MP) | 3W-2D-5L |
| 15 : 23 | Goals For : Against | 16 : 20 |
| 15.7 / 14.8 | Season xG / xGA | 15.8 / 18.3 |
| 15.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.8 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
7 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_MUS | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.80 ↓9.7% | 1.40 |
| Novibet | 2.35 | 3.65 | 2.85 | - |
| Paddy Power | 5.50 | 1.36 | 6.50 | - |
| Tipico | 6.00 | 1.30 | 6.50 | 1.35 |
| Unibet / Stake | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.70 ↓14.3% | 1.35 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-22
1 - 1
2025-11-30
2 - 0
2025-03-30
1 - 0
2024-09-15
3 - 2
2024-06-02
2 - 3