France • Top 5 • 2026/2027 Season

Ligue 1 xG Table & AI Predictions

Quantitative match projections, Expected Points (xPTS) over/under-performance, and live bookmaker odds-drop monitoring.

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Upcoming Ligue 1 Fixtures & Match Dossiers

20 scheduled

Fri 06 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Toulouse vs

Strasbourg

1: 55.7% · X: 23% · 2: 21.4% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 16:15 UTC

Auxerre vs

Paris FC

1: 31% · X: 25.4% · 2: 43.6% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Paris Saint-Germain vs

Troyes

1: 64.2% · X: 19.6% · 2: 16.2% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Rennes vs

Lille

1: 47.6% · X: 22.6% · 2: 29.8% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 16:15 UTC

Angers vs

Nice

1: 43.8% · X: 25.5% · 2: 30.8% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 16:15 UTC

Brest vs

Lyon

1: 48.6% · X: 24.5% · 2: 26.9% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 16:15 UTC

Le Havre vs

Lorient

1: 42% · X: 26.5% · 2: 31.5% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 16:15 UTC

Le Mans vs

Monaco

1: 38.6% · X: 26.4% · 2: 35% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Lens vs

Marseille

1: 52.5% · X: 22.3% · 2: 25.2% Full Dossier →

Fri 20 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Troyes vs

Le Havre

1: 43.9% · X: 25.1% · 2: 31% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 16:15 UTC

Nice vs

Paris Saint-Germain

1: 26.2% · X: 22.7% · 2: 51.1% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Lens vs

Toulouse

1: 40.6% · X: 24.8% · 2: 34.6% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Lille vs

Lyon

1: 37.5% · X: 27% · 2: 35.5% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Monaco vs

Auxerre

1: 46.6% · X: 25.4% · 2: 28% Full Dossier →

Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Strasbourg vs

Brest

1: 31.1% · X: 25% · 2: 43.9% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Paris FC vs

Angers

1: 56.5% · X: 23.3% · 2: 20.2% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 16:15 UTC

Lorient vs

Rennes

1: 42.7% · X: 24.3% · 2: 33% Full Dossier →

Sun 22 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Marseille vs

Le Mans

1: 47.6% · X: 23% · 2: 29.4% Full Dossier →

Fri 27 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Brest vs

Paris FC

1: 45% · X: 24.9% · 2: 30.2% Full Dossier →

Sat 28 Nov, 16:15 UTC

Angers vs

Lens

1: 37.7% · X: 25.3% · 2: 37% Full Dossier →

2026/27 Ligue 1 xG & Expected Points (xPTS) Table

Positive Luck Index (PTS - xPTS) indicates points overperformance; negative indicates teams due for positive regression.

#	Club	MP	W-D-L	GF:GA	GD	PTS	xG	xGA	xPTS	Luck (PTS−xPTS)
1	Paris Saint-Germain	9	6-2-1	21:10	+11	20	24.0	11.5	19.7	+0.3
2	Lille	9	5-3-1	12:6	+6	18	12.9	13.5	12.8	+5.2
3	Lyon	9	5-2-2	15:7	+8	17	14.5	10.4	15.1	+1.9
4	Paris FC	9	5-2-2	16:10	+6	17	16.0	9.0	17.1	-0.1
5	Rennes	9	5-1-3	20:19	+1	16	19.2	21.1	11.5	+4.5
6	Marseille	9	5-0-4	20:13	+7	15	14.8	20.4	9.8	+5.2
7	Monaco	9	4-3-2	12:10	+2	15	11.4	12.7	11.7	+3.3
8	Nice	9	4-2-3	13:12	+1	14	12.2	15.7	10.2	+3.8
9	Lens	9	4-1-4	16:13	+3	13	15.4	13.8	13.1	-0.1
10	Brest	9	3-3-3	16:12	+4	12	18.2	11.6	16.2	-4.2
11	Lorient	9	3-3-3	7:8	-1	12	10.5	10.1	12.5	-0.5
12	Toulouse	9	2-4-3	12:13	-1	10	16.9	12.0	15.9	-5.9
13	Strasbourg	9	3-1-5	17:19	-2	10	12.0	16.1	9.0	+1.0
14	Auxerre	9	3-1-5	13:23	-10	10	13.3	18.4	10.3	-0.3
15	Angers	9	2-2-5	9:17	-8	8	12.7	16.5	10.0	-2.0
16	Troyes	9	2-2-5	7:16	-9	8	11.8	13.5	10.9	-2.9
17	Le Mans	9	1-4-4	11:18	-7	7	12.4	18.9	8.8	-1.8
18	Le Havre	9	0-2-7	9:20	-11	2	14.8	17.7	10.6	-8.6