Portugal • Secondary Elite • 2026/2027 Season

Liga Portugal xG Table & AI Predictions

Quantitative match projections, Expected Points (xPTS) over/under-performance, and live bookmaker odds-drop monitoring.

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Upcoming Liga Portugal Fixtures & Match Dossiers

20 scheduled

Fri 06 Nov, 20:45 UTC

Famalicão vs

Arouca

1: 34.8% · X: 30.3% · 2: 34.8% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 15:30 UTC

Nacional vs

Académico Viseu

1: 41.6% · X: 27.6% · 2: 30.8% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 18:00 UTC

Alverca vs

Casa Pia AC

1: 50.7% · X: 26.1% · 2: 23.2% Full Dossier →

Sat 07 Nov, 20:30 UTC

Sporting CP vs

Moreirense

1: 67.2% · X: 20.8% · 2: 12% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 15:30 UTC

Estoril vs

Marítimo

1: 37.5% · X: 29.5% · 2: 33% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 15:30 UTC

Santa Clara vs

Gil Vicente

1: 44.3% · X: 29.3% · 2: 26.4% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 18:00 UTC

Vitória de Guimarães vs

FC Porto

1: 32.4% · X: 26.5% · 2: 41.1% Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 20:30 UTC

Estrela da Amadora vs

Benfica

🔒 Sovereign VIP Pick Full Dossier →

Sun 08 Nov, 20:30 UTC

Rio Ave vs

Braga

1: 20.7% · X: 29.7% · 2: 49.6% Full Dossier →

Fri 27 Nov, 20:15 UTC

Marítimo vs

Nacional

1: 44.1% · X: 28.6% · 2: 27.3% Full Dossier →

Sat 28 Nov, 15:30 UTC

Arouca vs

Rio Ave

1: 54.1% · X: 27% · 2: 18.8% Full Dossier →

Sat 28 Nov, 15:30 UTC

Moreirense vs

Santa Clara

1: 26.1% · X: 29.1% · 2: 44.8% Full Dossier →

Sat 28 Nov, 18:00 UTC

Académico Viseu vs

Alverca

1: 38.9% · X: 26.9% · 2: 34.2% Full Dossier →

Sat 28 Nov, 20:30 UTC

Vitória de Guimarães vs

Estrela da Amadora

1: 51.1% · X: 26.5% · 2: 22.4% Full Dossier →

Sun 29 Nov, 18:00 UTC

Gil Vicente vs

Estoril

1: 52.4% · X: 27.1% · 2: 20.5% Full Dossier →

Sun 29 Nov, 20:30 UTC

FC Porto vs

Sporting CP

1: 48.1% · X: 24.2% · 2: 27.7% Full Dossier →

Mon 30 Nov, 20:15 UTC

Casa Pia AC vs

Braga

1: 23.4% · X: 29.5% · 2: 47.1% Full Dossier →

Mon 30 Nov, 20:15 UTC

Benfica vs

Famalicão

1: 66.9% · X: 21.1% · 2: 12% Full Dossier →

Sun 06 Dec, 17:00 UTC

Alverca vs

Moreirense

1: 50.2% · X: 26.1% · 2: 23.7% Full Dossier →

Sun 06 Dec, 17:00 UTC

Estrela da Amadora vs

Gil Vicente

1: 37.7% · X: 29.3% · 2: 33% Full Dossier →

2026/27 Liga Portugal xG & Expected Points (xPTS) Table

Positive Luck Index (PTS - xPTS) indicates points overperformance; negative indicates teams due for positive regression.

#	Club	MP	W-D-L	GF:GA	GD	PTS	xG	xGA	xPTS	Luck (PTS−xPTS)
1	FC Porto	10	10-0-0	25:4	+21	30	22.8	8.0	23.5	+6.5
2	Benfica	10	8-1-1	27:8	+19	25	22.4	7.7	22.8	+2.3
3	Sporting CP	10	6-3-1	23:11	+12	21	20.4	8.6	21.2	-0.2
4	Santa Clara	10	6-3-1	15:6	+9	21	14.1	9.4	17.4	+3.6
5	Arouca	10	6-2-2	13:7	+6	20	12.5	12.8	14.2	+5.8
6	Académico Viseu	10	6-2-2	15:12	+3	20	11.3	17.5	9.6	+10.4
7	Gil Vicente	10	4-3-3	8:7	+1	15	12.5	10.3	15.6	-0.6
8	Braga	10	4-2-4	12:11	+1	14	13.9	7.5	18.7	-4.7
9	Moreirense	10	4-2-4	13:17	-4	14	9.1	17.6	8.5	+5.5
10	Alverca	10	3-2-5	13:14	-1	11	13.8	16.8	11.1	-0.1
11	Famalicão	10	2-4-4	14:14	0	10	9.3	13.7	10.9	-0.9
12	Estrela da Amadora	10	2-4-4	15:19	-4	10	12.8	14.4	12.9	-2.9
13	Vitória de Guimarães	10	2-3-5	10:10	0	9	15.5	9.2	17.8	-8.8
14	Marítimo	10	2-2-6	9:21	-12	8	10.2	13.9	11.1	-3.1
15	Nacional	10	2-1-7	10:19	-9	7	10.7	17.4	10.1	-3.1
16	Rio Ave	10	2-1-7	9:23	-14	7	7.3	17.6	7.1	-0.1
17	Casa Pia AC	10	2-1-7	5:19	-14	7	8.8	17.7	8.6	-1.6
18	Estoril	10	0-2-8	5:19	-14	2	10.1	17.6	9.3	-7.3