Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Monza
Rank #18 · 7 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.90 – 1.41
Atalanta
Rank #13 · 11 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
48.0%
Fair: 2.08
Draw (X)
24.3%
Fair: 4.12
Away Win (2)
27.8%
Fair: 3.60
Over 2.5 Goals
64.3%
Fair: 1.56
BTTS: Yes
65.3%
Fair: 1.53
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Monza | Metric | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| #18 (7 pts) | League Rank & Points | #13 (11 pts) |
| 2W-1D-7L | Season Record (10 MP) | 3W-2D-5L |
| 17 : 24 | Goals For : Against | 16 : 20 |
| 16.1 / 14.7 | Season xG / xGA | 15.8 / 18.3 |
| 14.7 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.8 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.44 | 4.01 | 2.10 | 1.49 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.75 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Betfred | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Bwin | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Caliente | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.02 | - |
| Interwetten | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.50 |
| Letsbet | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Novibet | 3.44 | 4.01 | 2.10 | 1.49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25 | 3.75 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25 | 3.75 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Tipico | 3.30 | 3.90 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Unibet | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Unibet / Stake | 3.20 ↓3% | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Winamax | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.45 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2025-05-04
0 - 4
2024-10-30
2 - 0
2024-04-21
1 - 2
2023-09-02
3 - 0
2023-06-04
5 - 2