Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
Manchester City
Rank #2 · 21 pts
0 – 1
Full Time
Brighton & Hove Albion
Rank #3 · 19 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
48.1%
Fair: 2.08
Draw (X)
23.3%
Fair: 4.29
Away Win (2)
28.6%
Fair: 3.50
Over 2.5 Goals
68.7%
Fair: 1.46
BTTS: Yes
68.7%
Fair: 1.46
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Manchester City | Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (21 pts) | League Rank & Points | #3 (19 pts) |
| 7W-0D-2L | Season Record (9 MP) | 6W-1D-2L |
| 20 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 24 : 7 |
| 18.3 / 11.7 | Season xG / xGA | 17.2 / 13.0 |
| 17.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 14.7 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
17 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.60 | 1.45 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_DEU | 1.65 | 4.30 | 4.35 | 1.50 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 1.65 | 4.30 | 4.35 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| Betfred | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.65 | 1.45 |
| Bwin | 1.75 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 1.45 |
| Caliente | 1.72 | 4.20 | 4.20 | - |
| Interwetten | 12.00 | 3.10 | 1.52 | 2.30 |
| Letsbet | 1.80 | 4.00 | 4.35 | 1.45 |
| Novibet | 1.72 | 4.20 | 4.20 | - |
| Paddy Power | 3.75 | 2.75 | 2.25 ↓50% | 1.36 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| Tipico | 14.00 | 3.60 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Unibet | 1.70 | 4.05 | 4.75 | 1.45 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.60 | 1.45 |
| Winamax | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.45 | 1.45 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-10-28
2 - 2
2026-01-07
1 - 1
2025-08-31
2 - 1
2025-03-15
2 - 2
2024-11-09
2 - 1