Sat 21 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC
Manchester City
Rank #2 · 21 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 2.00 – 1.32
Fulham
Rank #15 · 9 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
52.3%
Fair: 1.91
Draw (X)
23.6%
Fair: 4.24
Away Win (2)
24.1%
Fair: 4.15
Over 2.5 Goals
64.4%
Fair: 1.55
BTTS: Yes
64.2%
Fair: 1.56
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Manchester City | Metric | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (21 pts) | League Rank & Points | #15 (9 pts) |
| 7W-0D-2L | Season Record (9 MP) | 2W-3D-4L |
| 20 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 9 : 11 |
| 18.3 / 11.7 | Season xG / xGA | 13.7 / 12.8 |
| 17.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 13.1 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
4 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.25 ↓16.7% | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.25 ↓16.7% | 1.67 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.25 ↓16.7% | 1.67 |
| Tipico | 1.42 | 5.20 | 6.20 | 2.15 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-11
3 - 0
2025-12-02
4 - 5
2025-05-25
0 - 2
2024-10-05
3 - 2
2024-05-11
0 - 4