Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Sunderland
Rank #20 · 5 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.61 – 1.46
Chelsea
Rank #4 · 16 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
40.3%
Fair: 2.48
Draw (X)
26.1%
Fair: 3.83
Away Win (2)
33.7%
Fair: 2.97
Over 2.5 Goals
59.3%
Fair: 1.69
BTTS: Yes
62.6%
Fair: 1.60
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Sunderland | Metric | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| #20 (5 pts) | League Rank & Points | #4 (16 pts) |
| 1W-2D-6L | Season Record (9 MP) | 5W-1D-3L |
| 7 : 17 | Goals For : Against | 19 : 15 |
| 13.2 / 15.7 | Season xG / xGA | 13.3 / 12.6 |
| 12.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.9 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
18 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.72 | 3.82 | 2.06 | 1.66 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_ESP | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_GBR | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_MUS | 4.10 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Betfred | 3.50 | 3.65 | 2.00 | 1.65 |
| Bwin | 3.45 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.65 |
| Caliente | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.02 | - |
| Interwetten | 3.65 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Letsbet | 3.45 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.65 |
| Novibet | 3.65 | 3.65 | 1.99 | 1.70 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50 | 3.65 | 2.00 | 1.65 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Tipico | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.60 |
| Unibet | 3.50 | 3.65 | 2.00 | 1.65 |
| Unibet / Stake | 3.50 | 3.65 | 2.00 | 1.65 |
| Winamax | 3.55 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.65 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-24
2 - 1
2025-10-25
1 - 2
2017-05-21
5 - 1
2016-12-14
0 - 1
2016-05-07
3 - 2