Sun 22 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC
Liverpool
Rank #5 · 15 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.73 – 1.29
Manchester United
Rank #17 · 7 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
46.6%
Fair: 2.15
Draw (X)
25.8%
Fair: 3.88
Away Win (2)
27.7%
Fair: 3.61
Over 2.5 Goals
58.1%
Fair: 1.72
BTTS: Yes
60.8%
Fair: 1.64
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Liverpool | Metric | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| #5 (15 pts) | League Rank & Points | #17 (7 pts) |
| 4W-3D-2L | Season Record (9 MP) | 1W-4D-4L |
| 11 : 9 | Goals For : Against | 10 : 15 |
| 13.2 / 10.6 | Season xG / xGA | 14.0 / 15.0 |
| 14.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.2 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
5 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| Tipico | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.25 | 1.65 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.25 | 1.65 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-03
3 - 2
2025-10-19
1 - 2
2025-01-05
2 - 2
2024-09-01
0 - 3
2024-08-03
0 - 3