Sat 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Aston Villa
Rank #10 · 12 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.60 – 1.43
Sunderland
Rank #20 · 5 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
40.6%
Fair: 2.46
Draw (X)
26.3%
Fair: 3.80
Away Win (2)
33.1%
Fair: 3.02
Over 2.5 Goals
58.2%
Fair: 1.72
BTTS: Yes
61.7%
Fair: 1.62
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Aston Villa | Metric | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| #10 (12 pts) | League Rank & Points | #20 (5 pts) |
| 3W-3D-3L | Season Record (9 MP) | 1W-2D-6L |
| 10 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 7 : 17 |
| 10.9 / 15.1 | Season xG / xGA | 13.2 / 15.7 |
| 10.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.1 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
4 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Tipico | 1.95 | 3.55 | 3.95 | 1.65 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-19
4 - 3
2025-09-21
1 - 1
2018-03-06
0 - 3
2017-11-21
2 - 1
2016-01-02
3 - 1