Sat 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
Ajax
Rank #2 · 24 pts
1 – 0
Full Time
AZ Alkmaar
Rank #5 · 20 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
45.8%
Fair: 2.18
Draw (X)
22.3%
Fair: 4.48
Away Win (2)
31.9%
Fair: 3.13
Over 2.5 Goals
74.5%
Fair: 1.34
BTTS: Yes
73.7%
Fair: 1.36
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Ajax | Metric | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (24 pts) | League Rank & Points | #5 (20 pts) |
| 7W-3D-1L | Season Record (11 MP) | 6W-2D-3L |
| 30 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 20 : 13 |
| 26.0 / 15.9 | Season xG / xGA | 24.7 / 13.3 |
| 21.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 21.4 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
16 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 4.20 | 3.40 ↓15.8% | 1.43 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 1.75 | 4.30 | 3.80 | 1.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 4.20 | 3.60 ↓5.3% | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 ↓31.4% | 5.50 | 36.00 | 4.10 |
| Betfred | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.40 |
| Bwin | 1.80 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 1.40 |
| Caliente | 1.78 | 4.35 | 3.75 | - |
| Interwetten | 1.22 | 4.70 | 16.00 | - |
| Letsbet | 1.75 | 4.05 | 3.90 | 1.35 |
| Novibet | 1.81 | 4.20 | 3.70 | - |
| Paddy Power | 1.22 ↓30.3% | 4.75 | 29.00 | 3.40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.40 |
| Tipico | 1.22 ↓12.9% | 4.70 | 16.00 | - |
| Unibet | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.55 | 1.35 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.75 | 3.85 | 3.65 ↓6.4% | 1.35 |
| Winamax | 1.80 | 3.95 | 3.65 | 1.40 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-08
1 - 1
2026-01-14
6 - 0
2025-10-18
0 - 2
2025-03-16
2 - 2
2025-01-14
2 - 0