Sun 08 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC
FC Twente
Rank #4 · 23 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 2.29 – 1.60
Ajax
Rank #2 · 24 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
52.3%
Fair: 1.91
Draw (X)
21.5%
Fair: 4.65
Away Win (2)
26.1%
Fair: 3.83
Over 2.5 Goals
74.2%
Fair: 1.35
BTTS: Yes
72.3%
Fair: 1.38
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| FC Twente | Metric | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| #4 (23 pts) | League Rank & Points | #2 (24 pts) |
| 7W-2D-2L | Season Record (11 MP) | 7W-3D-1L |
| 28 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 30 : 13 |
| 26.8 / 8.9 | Season xG / xGA | 26.0 / 15.9 |
| 24.7 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 21.4 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.94 | 2.82 | 1.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.80 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
| Betfred | 2.25 | 3.80 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
| Bwin | 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.65 | 1.40 |
| Caliente | 2.28 | 3.95 | 2.72 | - |
| Interwetten | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
| Letsbet | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.65 | 1.40 |
| Novibet | 2.25 | 3.75 | 2.80 | 1.42 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.36 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.36 |
| Tipico | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 1.33 |
| Unibet | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
| Unibet / Stake | 2.30 ↓6.1% | 3.70 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
| Winamax | 2.25 | 3.80 | 2.70 | 1.40 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-04
1 - 2
2025-10-26
2 - 3
2025-05-18
2 - 0
2024-11-10
2 - 2
2024-04-14
2 - 1