Sun 08 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC
AZ Alkmaar
Rank #5 · 20 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 2.46 – 1.48
FC Groningen
Rank #8 · 15 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
58.2%
Fair: 1.72
Draw (X)
20.3%
Fair: 4.93
Away Win (2)
21.5%
Fair: 4.65
Over 2.5 Goals
74.9%
Fair: 1.34
BTTS: Yes
71.0%
Fair: 1.41
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| AZ Alkmaar | Metric | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| #5 (20 pts) | League Rank & Points | #8 (15 pts) |
| 6W-2D-3L | Season Record (11 MP) | 4W-3D-4L |
| 20 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 26 : 24 |
| 24.7 / 13.3 | Season xG / xGA | 20.6 / 23.4 |
| 21.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 15.0 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.64 | 5.52 | 1.45 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.44 |
| Betfred | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.60 | 1.45 |
| Bwin | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.45 | 1.45 |
| Caliente | 1.52 | 4.70 | 5.30 | - |
| Interwetten | 1.53 | 4.60 | 5.25 | 2.40 |
| Letsbet | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.45 | 1.45 |
| Novibet | 1.52 | 4.50 | 5.20 | 1.51 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 1.44 |
| Tipico | 1.50 | 4.70 | 5.20 | 1.42 |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.45 | 1.45 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.45 | 1.45 |
| Winamax | 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.45 | 1.45 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-03-22
3 - 0
2025-08-10
4 - 1
2025-05-11
3 - 0
2024-12-18
3 - 1
2024-08-25
0 - 0