Sun 25 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC
Sparta Rotterdam
Rank #11 · 12 pts
1 – 2
Full Time
Match xG: 1.25 – 1.43
Ajax
Rank #2 · 24 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
38.4%
Fair: 2.60
Draw (X)
22.2%
Fair: 4.50
Away Win (2)
39.5%
Fair: 2.53
Over 2.5 Goals
76.2%
Fair: 1.31
BTTS: Yes
75.5%
Fair: 1.32
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Sparta Rotterdam | Metric | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| #11 (12 pts) | League Rank & Points | #2 (24 pts) |
| 3W-3D-5L | Season Record (11 MP) | 7W-3D-1L |
| 20 : 26 | Goals For : Against | 30 : 13 |
| 22.0 / 21.4 | Season xG / xGA | 26.0 / 15.9 |
| 15.8 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 21.4 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-03-14
4 - 0
2025-10-04
3 - 3
2025-04-27
1 - 1
2024-12-22
0 - 2
2024-03-17
2 - 2