Sun 25 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Freiburg
Rank #3 · 16 pts
1 – 3
Full Time
Match xG: 1.01 – 2.91
Bayern München
Rank #1 · 18 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
24.0%
Fair: 4.17
Draw (X)
20.8%
Fair: 4.81
Away Win (2)
55.3%
Fair: 1.81
Over 2.5 Goals
75.4%
Fair: 1.33
BTTS: Yes
72.4%
Fair: 1.38
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Freiburg | Metric | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| #3 (16 pts) | League Rank & Points | #1 (18 pts) |
| 5W-1D-2L | Season Record (8 MP) | 5W-3D-0L |
| 18 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 27 : 8 |
| 13.9 / 9.7 | Season xG / xGA | 28.3 / 7.2 |
| 14.0 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 22.3 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
1 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_MUS | 5.50 | 5.25 | 1.44 | 1.36 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-04
2 - 3
2025-11-22
6 - 2
2025-01-25
1 - 2
2024-09-01
2 - 0
2024-03-01
2 - 2