Sun 08 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
1. FC Köln
Rank #13 · 9 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.83 – 1.66
Bayer Leverkusen
Rank #6 · 13 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
41.3%
Fair: 2.42
Draw (X)
24.1%
Fair: 4.15
Away Win (2)
34.6%
Fair: 2.89
Over 2.5 Goals
67.7%
Fair: 1.48
BTTS: Yes
68.9%
Fair: 1.45
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| 1. FC Köln | Metric | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| #13 (9 pts) | League Rank & Points | #6 (13 pts) |
| 2W-3D-3L | Season Record (8 MP) | 4W-1D-3L |
| 9 : 12 | Goals For : Against | 18 : 16 |
| 12.3 / 12.2 | Season xG / xGA | 16.0 / 14.2 |
| 11.3 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.8 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
17 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.21 | 4.45 | 1.81 | 1.42 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_ESP | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.65 | 1.44 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_MUS | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.65 | 1.44 |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 1.70 | 1.44 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.73 | 1.36 |
| Betfred | 3.90 | 4.15 | 1.75 | 1.35 |
| Bwin | 4.05 | 4.15 | 1.75 | 1.40 |
| Caliente | 4.10 | 4.30 | 1.73 | - |
| Interwetten | 4.10 | 4.30 | 1.75 | 1.43 |
| Letsbet | 3.90 | 4.15 | 1.75 | 1.35 |
| Novibet | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.76 | 1.44 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80 | 4.00 | 1.70 | 1.36 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.73 | 1.40 |
| Tipico | 4.30 | 4.00 | 1.75 | 2.70 |
| Unibet | 3.90 | 4.15 | 1.75 | 1.35 |
| Unibet / Stake | 4.05 ↓5.8% | 4.15 | 1.75 | 1.40 |
| Winamax | 3.90 | 4.10 | 1.75 | 1.40 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-25
1 - 2
2025-12-13
2 - 0
2025-02-05
3 - 2
2024-03-03
0 - 2
2023-10-08
3 - 0