Sun 22 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
Augsburg
Rank #10 · 9 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 2.08 – 2.12
Mainz 05
Rank #9 · 10 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
38.4%
Fair: 2.60
Draw (X)
21.5%
Fair: 4.65
Away Win (2)
40.1%
Fair: 2.49
Over 2.5 Goals
78.7%
Fair: 1.27
BTTS: Yes
77.4%
Fair: 1.29
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Augsburg | Metric | Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| #10 (9 pts) | League Rank & Points | #9 (10 pts) |
| 2W-3D-3L | Season Record (8 MP) | 3W-1D-4L |
| 18 : 15 | Goals For : Against | 17 : 17 |
| 16.5 / 20.8 | Season xG / xGA | 16.9 / 12.4 |
| 8.8 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 14.1 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
4 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.80 | 2.45 | 1.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.80 | 2.45 | 1.40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50 | 3.80 | 2.45 | 1.40 |
| Tipico | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.50 | 2.70 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-07
2 - 0
2025-09-20
1 - 4
2025-02-08
0 - 0
2024-09-20
2 - 3
2024-02-17
1 - 0