Fri 30 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
Elversberg
Rank #7 · 13 pts
4 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 0.93 – 1.15
Mainz 05
Rank #9 · 10 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
31.9%
Fair: 3.13
Draw (X)
23.5%
Fair: 4.26
Away Win (2)
44.6%
Fair: 2.24
Over 2.5 Goals
69.5%
Fair: 1.44
BTTS: Yes
70.0%
Fair: 1.43
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Elversberg | Metric | Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| #7 (13 pts) | League Rank & Points | #9 (10 pts) |
| 4W-1D-3L | Season Record (8 MP) | 3W-1D-4L |
| 16 : 16 | Goals For : Against | 17 : 17 |
| 11.3 / 17.2 | Season xG / xGA | 16.9 / 12.4 |
| 7.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 14.1 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
16 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.20 ↓14.7% | 3.75 | 2.05 | - |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 3.25 | 3.90 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.05 | - |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 1.40 |
| Betfred | 3.65 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.45 |
| Bwin | 3.55 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.40 |
| Caliente | 3.35 | 3.95 | 1.98 | - |
| Interwetten | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.40 |
| Letsbet | 3.55 | 3.65 | 1.95 | 1.40 |
| Novibet | 3.83 | 3.98 | 1.89 ↓6.4% | 1.52 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.05 | - |
| Sky Bet | 3.50 | 3.75 | 1.95 | 1.40 |
| Tipico | 3.10 | 3.90 | 2.10 | 1.37 |
| Unibet | 3.65 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 1.45 |
| Unibet / Stake | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.85 ↓14% | 1.45 |
| Winamax | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 1.40 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2023-08-12
0 - 1
2021-08-08
2 - 2