Sun 22 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC
Werder Bremen
Rank #5 · 15 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.99 – 1.15
Hamburger SV
Rank #15 · 9 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
55.8%
Fair: 1.79
Draw (X)
23.6%
Fair: 4.24
Away Win (2)
20.6%
Fair: 4.85
Over 2.5 Goals
60.5%
Fair: 1.65
BTTS: Yes
59.8%
Fair: 1.67
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Werder Bremen | Metric | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| #5 (15 pts) | League Rank & Points | #15 (9 pts) |
| 4W-3D-1L | Season Record (8 MP) | 3W-0D-5L |
| 17 : 14 | Goals For : Against | 7 : 19 |
| 13.9 / 12.8 | Season xG / xGA | 8.1 / 14.7 |
| 11.6 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 6.8 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
4 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 ↓7.2% | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 ↓7.2% | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.57 |
| Paddy Power | 1.55 ↓7.2% | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.57 |
| Tipico | 1.57 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 2.40 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-18
3 - 1
2025-12-07
3 - 2
2022-02-27
2 - 3
2021-09-18
0 - 2
2018-02-24
1 - 0