Sat 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
Bayern München
Rank #1 · 18 pts
2 – 2
Full Time
Borussia Dortmund
Rank #2 · 18 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
73.7%
Fair: 1.36
Draw (X)
15.1%
Fair: 6.62
Away Win (2)
11.2%
Fair: 8.93
Over 2.5 Goals
77.9%
Fair: 1.28
BTTS: Yes
65.6%
Fair: 1.52
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Bayern München | Metric | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| #1 (18 pts) | League Rank & Points | #2 (18 pts) |
| 5W-3D-0L | Season Record (8 MP) | 5W-3D-0L |
| 27 : 8 | Goals For : Against | 14 : 6 |
| 28.3 / 7.2 | Season xG / xGA | 12.3 / 11.8 |
| 22.3 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.9 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
17 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 5.84 | 7.61 | 1.44 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_DEU | 1.30 | 6.05 | 6.85 | 1.35 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 1.30 | 6.05 | 6.85 | 1.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.75 | 7.50 | 1.44 |
| Betfair | 1.08 ↓16.9% | 9.00 | 101.00 | - |
| Betfred | 1.30 | 6.05 | 8.55 | 1.45 |
| Bwin | 1.30 | 5.60 | 6.95 | 1.35 |
| Caliente | 1.31 | 6.00 | 7.50 | - |
| Interwetten | 1.20 | 6.00 | 18.00 | 1.95 |
| Letsbet | 1.30 | 5.60 | 8.15 | 1.40 |
| Novibet | 1.31 | 6.00 | 7.50 | - |
| Paddy Power | 1.10 ↓23.6% | 7.50 | 67.00 | - |
| Sky Bet | 1.29 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 1.36 |
| Tipico | 3.80 | 1.35 | 14.00 | 2.10 |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 5.60 | 8.15 | 1.40 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.25 ↓7.4% | 5.65 | 7.10 ↓3.4% | 1.35 |
| Winamax | 1.30 | 5.65 | 8.20 | 1.40 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-08-22
1 - 2
2026-02-28
2 - 3
2025-10-18
2 - 1
2025-04-12
2 - 2
2024-11-30
1 - 1