Sat 21 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
Union Berlin
Rank #16 · 7 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.34 – 2.10
RB Leipzig
Rank #4 · 15 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
23.3%
Fair: 4.29
Draw (X)
22.8%
Fair: 4.39
Away Win (2)
53.8%
Fair: 1.86
Over 2.5 Goals
66.6%
Fair: 1.50
BTTS: Yes
65.6%
Fair: 1.52
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Union Berlin | Metric | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| #16 (7 pts) | League Rank & Points | #4 (15 pts) |
| 1W-4D-3L | Season Record (8 MP) | 5W-0D-3L |
| 7 : 19 | Goals For : Against | 22 : 11 |
| 8.3 / 15.2 | Season xG / xGA | 20.2 / 11.5 |
| 7.7 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 16.0 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
4 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.70 | 1.44 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.70 | 1.44 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00 | 4.20 | 1.70 | 1.44 |
| Tipico | 4.20 | 4.40 | 1.70 | 2.70 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-24
3 - 1
2025-12-12
3 - 1
2025-02-01
0 - 0
2024-09-14
0 - 0
2024-02-04
2 - 0