Sat 21 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
Bayer Leverkusen
Rank #6 · 13 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 2.08 – 1.21
Paderborn
Rank #14 · 9 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
56.4%
Fair: 1.77
Draw (X)
22.8%
Fair: 4.39
Away Win (2)
20.8%
Fair: 4.81
Over 2.5 Goals
63.8%
Fair: 1.57
BTTS: Yes
62.3%
Fair: 1.61
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Bayer Leverkusen | Metric | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| #6 (13 pts) | League Rank & Points | #14 (9 pts) |
| 4W-1D-3L | Season Record (8 MP) | 2W-3D-3L |
| 18 : 16 | Goals For : Against | 6 : 9 |
| 16.0 / 14.2 | Season xG / xGA | 8.1 / 13.2 |
| 12.8 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 7.5 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
4 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 6.25 | 10.00 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 6.25 | 10.00 | 1.57 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25 | 6.25 | 10.00 | 1.57 |
| Tipico | 1.22 | 7.00 | 10.50 | 2.20 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2025-10-29
2 - 4
2023-12-06
3 - 1
2023-07-21
1 - 2
2020-01-19
1 - 4
2019-10-29
1 - 0