Sat 07 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC
Mainz 05
Rank #9 · 10 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.82 – 2.52
Bayern München
Rank #1 · 18 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
27.3%
Fair: 3.66
Draw (X)
20.1%
Fair: 4.98
Away Win (2)
52.6%
Fair: 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
80.3%
Fair: 1.25
BTTS: Yes
77.3%
Fair: 1.29
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Mainz 05 | Metric | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| #9 (10 pts) | League Rank & Points | #1 (18 pts) |
| 3W-1D-4L | Season Record (8 MP) | 5W-3D-0L |
| 17 : 17 | Goals For : Against | 27 : 8 |
| 16.9 / 12.4 | Season xG / xGA | 28.3 / 7.2 |
| 14.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 22.3 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.78 | 5.96 | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 6.00 | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Betfred | 5.90 | 5.90 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Bwin | 5.85 | 5.85 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Caliente | 5.90 | 5.90 | 1.38 | - |
| Interwetten | 5.75 | 6.00 | 1.43 | 2.90 |
| Letsbet | 5.80 | 5.90 | 1.40 | 1.35 |
| Novibet | 5.90 | 5.90 | 1.38 | - |
| Paddy Power | 5.85 | 5.85 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Sky Bet | 6.00 | 5.75 | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Tipico | 5.90 | 5.90 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Unibet | 5.90 | 5.90 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Unibet / Stake | 5.85 ↓3.3% | 5.85 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Winamax | 5.90 | 5.90 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-25
3 - 4
2025-12-14
2 - 2
2025-04-26
3 - 0
2024-12-14
2 - 1
2024-10-30
0 - 4