Sun 06 Dec 2026, 17:00 UTC
Alverca
Rank #10 · 11 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.72 – 1.12
Moreirense
Rank #9 · 14 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
50.2%
Fair: 1.99
Draw (X)
26.1%
Fair: 3.83
Away Win (2)
23.7%
Fair: 4.22
Over 2.5 Goals
53.9%
Fair: 1.86
BTTS: Yes
56.4%
Fair: 1.77
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Alverca | Metric | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| #10 (11 pts) | League Rank & Points | #9 (14 pts) |
| 3W-2D-5L | Season Record (10 MP) | 4W-2D-4L |
| 13 : 14 | Goals For : Against | 13 : 17 |
| 13.8 / 16.8 | Season xG / xGA | 9.1 / 17.6 |
| 11.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 8.5 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-01-17
2 - 1
2025-08-10
2 - 1