Mon 26 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
Santa Clara
Rank #4 · 21 pts
1 – 2
Full Time
Match xG: 1.57 – 1.42
Benfica
Rank #2 · 25 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
30.1%
Fair: 3.32
Draw (X)
26.9%
Fair: 3.72
Away Win (2)
43.0%
Fair: 2.33
Over 2.5 Goals
54.9%
Fair: 1.82
BTTS: Yes
58.9%
Fair: 1.70
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Santa Clara | Metric | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| #4 (21 pts) | League Rank & Points | #2 (25 pts) |
| 6W-3D-1L | Season Record (10 MP) | 8W-1D-1L |
| 15 : 6 | Goals For : Against | 27 : 8 |
| 14.1 / 9.4 | Season xG / xGA | 22.4 / 7.7 |
| 17.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 22.8 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
5 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_DEU | 10.25 | 5.55 | 1.25 | 2.15 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 9.90 | 5.65 | 1.25 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 9.50 | 5.00 | 1.27 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 | 2.10 |
| Caliente | 9.00 | 5.40 | 1.31 | - |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-13
1 - 2
2025-09-12
1 - 1
2025-02-15
0 - 1
2024-10-30
3 - 0
2024-09-14
4 - 1