Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
Moreirense
Rank #9 · 14 pts
2 – 1
Full Time
Estrela da Amadora
Rank #12 · 10 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
33.3%
Fair: 3.00
Draw (X)
28.8%
Fair: 3.47
Away Win (2)
37.8%
Fair: 2.65
Over 2.5 Goals
48.3%
Fair: 2.07
BTTS: Yes
54.2%
Fair: 1.85
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Moreirense | Metric | Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| #9 (14 pts) | League Rank & Points | #12 (10 pts) |
| 4W-2D-4L | Season Record (10 MP) | 2W-4D-4L |
| 13 : 17 | Goals For : Against | 15 : 19 |
| 9.1 / 17.6 | Season xG / xGA | 12.8 / 14.4 |
| 8.5 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.9 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
6 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 1.65 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 ↓5.3% | 3.40 | 2.45 | 1.75 |
| Novibet | 2.79 ↓8.2% | 3.46 | 2.54 | 1.72 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 1.67 |
| Tipico | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 1.65 |
| Unibet / Stake | 2.80 ↓3.5% | 3.00 | 2.45 | 1.65 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-02
3 - 2
2025-12-20
0 - 0
2025-03-02
1 - 1
2024-09-28
2 - 1
2024-04-07
2 - 2