Sat 28 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC
Arouca
Rank #5 · 20 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.63 – 0.87
Rio Ave
Rank #16 · 7 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
54.1%
Fair: 1.85
Draw (X)
27.0%
Fair: 3.70
Away Win (2)
18.8%
Fair: 5.32
Over 2.5 Goals
45.6%
Fair: 2.19
BTTS: Yes
47.9%
Fair: 2.09
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Arouca | Metric | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|
| #5 (20 pts) | League Rank & Points | #16 (7 pts) |
| 6W-2D-2L | Season Record (10 MP) | 2W-1D-7L |
| 13 : 7 | Goals For : Against | 9 : 23 |
| 12.5 / 12.8 | Season xG / xGA | 7.3 / 17.6 |
| 14.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 7.1 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-01-31
0 - 3
2025-08-23
3 - 3
2025-02-10
1 - 1
2024-09-01
1 - 0
2024-04-19
1 - 1