Sat 07 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC
Sporting CP
Rank #3 · 21 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 2.16 – 0.82
Moreirense
Rank #9 · 14 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
67.2%
Fair: 1.49
Draw (X)
20.8%
Fair: 4.81
Away Win (2)
12.0%
Fair: 8.33
Over 2.5 Goals
57.0%
Fair: 1.75
BTTS: Yes
50.2%
Fair: 1.99
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Sporting CP | Metric | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| #3 (21 pts) | League Rank & Points | #9 (14 pts) |
| 6W-3D-1L | Season Record (10 MP) | 4W-2D-4L |
| 23 : 11 | Goals For : Against | 13 : 17 |
| 20.4 / 8.6 | Season xG / xGA | 9.1 / 17.6 |
| 21.2 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 8.5 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 8.00 | 12.85 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 2.20 |
| Betfred | 1.15 | 8.25 | 13.30 | 2.20 |
| Bwin | 1.15 | 8.00 | 12.85 | 2.20 |
| Caliente | 1.16 | 7.40 | 15.50 | - |
| Interwetten | 1.17 | 7.50 | 14.00 | 2.20 |
| Letsbet | 1.15 | 7.95 | 13.40 | 2.25 |
| Novibet | 1.19 | 6.60 | 12.00 | 2.09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.15 | 8.00 | 12.85 | 2.20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 2.20 |
| Tipico | 1.13 | 8.20 | 16.00 | 1.70 |
| Unibet | 1.15 | 8.00 | 12.85 | 2.20 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.15 | 8.00 | 12.85 | 2.20 |
| Winamax | 1.15 | 8.00 | 12.85 | 2.20 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-21
0 - 3
2025-09-22
3 - 0
2025-04-18
3 - 1
2024-12-05
2 - 1
2024-02-19
0 - 2