Sat 07 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC
Alverca
Rank #10 · 11 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.72 – 1.10
Casa Pia AC
Rank #17 · 7 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
50.7%
Fair: 1.97
Draw (X)
26.1%
Fair: 3.83
Away Win (2)
23.2%
Fair: 4.31
Over 2.5 Goals
53.6%
Fair: 1.87
BTTS: Yes
56.0%
Fair: 1.79
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Alverca | Metric | Casa Pia AC |
|---|---|---|
| #10 (11 pts) | League Rank & Points | #17 (7 pts) |
| 3W-2D-5L | Season Record (10 MP) | 2W-1D-7L |
| 13 : 14 | Goals For : Against | 5 : 19 |
| 13.8 / 16.8 | Season xG / xGA | 8.8 / 17.7 |
| 11.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 8.6 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
6 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.75 | 4.50 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 1.66 | 3.75 | 4.50 ↓5.3% | 1.91 |
| Novibet | 1.76 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.83 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.33 | 1.80 |
| Tipico | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.80 | 1.77 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.85 | 1.85 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-12
3 - 1
2025-11-29
0 - 2