Fri 06 Nov 2026, 20:45 UTC
Famalicão
Rank #11 · 10 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.20 – 1.20
Arouca
Rank #5 · 20 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
34.8%
Fair: 2.87
Draw (X)
30.3%
Fair: 3.30
Away Win (2)
34.8%
Fair: 2.87
Over 2.5 Goals
42.8%
Fair: 2.34
BTTS: Yes
50.0%
Fair: 2.00
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Famalicão | Metric | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| #11 (10 pts) | League Rank & Points | #5 (20 pts) |
| 2W-4D-4L | Season Record (10 MP) | 6W-2D-2L |
| 14 : 14 | Goals For : Against | 13 : 7 |
| 9.3 / 13.7 | Season xG / xGA | 12.5 / 12.8 |
| 10.9 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 14.2 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Betfred | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 1.75 |
| Bwin | 2.10 | 3.35 | 3.45 | 1.70 |
| Caliente | 1.98 | 3.45 | 3.80 | - |
| Interwetten | 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.55 | 1.97 |
| Letsbet | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Novibet | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.79 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.25 | 1.73 |
| Tipico | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Unibet | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Unibet / Stake | 2.10 | 3.35 | 3.45 ↓5.5% | 1.70 |
| Winamax | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-03-06
1 - 0
2025-10-05
1 - 1
2025-04-05
1 - 2
2024-11-09
0 - 0
2024-02-23
3 - 2