Fri 30 Oct 2026, 20:15 UTC
Casa Pia AC
Rank #17 · 7 pts
0 – 2
Full Time
Match xG: 0.31 – 2.65
Sporting CP
Rank #3 · 21 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
19.4%
Fair: 5.15
Draw (X)
25.5%
Fair: 3.92
Away Win (2)
55.2%
Fair: 1.81
Over 2.5 Goals
51.9%
Fair: 1.93
BTTS: Yes
52.8%
Fair: 1.89
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Casa Pia AC | Metric | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| #17 (7 pts) | League Rank & Points | #3 (21 pts) |
| 2W-1D-7L | Season Record (10 MP) | 6W-3D-1L |
| 5 : 19 | Goals For : Against | 23 : 11 |
| 8.8 / 17.7 | Season xG / xGA | 20.4 / 8.6 |
| 8.6 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 21.2 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
18 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.12 | 5.58 | 1.35 | 1.83 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_DEU | 11.90 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 2.05 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_ESP | 11.90 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 2.05 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 11.90 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 2.05 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_GBR | 11.90 | 6.00 | 1.20 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 151.00 | 9.00 | 1.07 ↓14.4% | - |
| Betfred | 10.60 | 5.40 | 1.25 | 1.85 |
| Bwin | 8.45 | 5.50 | 1.25 | 1.85 |
| Caliente | 10.75 | 5.70 | 1.26 | - |
| Interwetten | 90.00 | 7.75 | 1.08 | - |
| Letsbet | 8.45 | 5.50 | 1.25 | 1.85 |
| Novibet | 9.30 | 5.50 | 1.30 | - |
| Paddy Power | 81.00 | 8.00 | 1.10 | - |
| Tipico | 90.00 | 7.75 | 1.08 ↓3.6% | - |
| Unibet | 10.65 | 5.60 | 1.25 | 1.85 |
| Unibet / Stake | 8.30 ↓22.1% | 4.85 | 1.25 | 1.80 |
| Winamax | 9.40 | 5.65 | 1.25 | 1.85 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-01-16
3 - 0
2025-08-08
0 - 2
2025-03-09
1 - 3
2024-10-05
2 - 0
2024-01-29
8 - 0