Mon 02 Nov 2026, 20:15 UTC
Benfica
Rank #2 · 25 pts
1 – 0
Full Time
Alverca
Rank #10 · 11 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
63.7%
Fair: 1.57
Draw (X)
20.8%
Fair: 4.81
Away Win (2)
15.5%
Fair: 6.45
Over 2.5 Goals
64.0%
Fair: 1.56
BTTS: Yes
58.9%
Fair: 1.70
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Benfica | Metric | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (25 pts) | League Rank & Points | #10 (11 pts) |
| 8W-1D-1L | Season Record (10 MP) | 3W-2D-5L |
| 27 : 8 | Goals For : Against | 13 : 14 |
| 22.4 / 7.7 | Season xG / xGA | 13.8 / 16.8 |
| 22.8 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 11.1 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
15 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.14 | 10.00 | 15.90 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 9.50 | 15.00 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 1.05 | 12.00 | 151.00 | 8.00 |
| Betfred | 1.10 | 10.10 | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| Bwin | 1.05 | 10.30 | 15.20 | 1.90 |
| Caliente | 1.12 | 8.80 | 19.50 | - |
| Interwetten | 1.07 | 9.50 | 100.00 | - |
| Letsbet | 1.10 | 9.50 | 17.80 | 1.90 |
| Novibet | 1.12 | 8.80 | 19.50 | - |
| Paddy Power | 1.05 ↓10.3% | 12.00 | 151.00 | 8.00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.08 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 1.91 |
| Tipico | 1.05 ↓8.7% | 10.00 | 100.00 | - |
| Unibet | 1.10 | 10.10 | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.10 ↓4.4% | 9.70 | 14.70 | 1.95 |
| Winamax | 1.10 | 9.55 | 17.45 | 1.90 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-08
2 - 1
2025-08-31
1 - 2