Mon 26 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
Paris Saint-Germain
Rank #1 · 20 pts
2 – 0
Full Time
Match xG: 0.96 – 0.65
Lyon
Rank #3 · 17 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
57.8%
Fair: 1.73
Draw (X)
21.2%
Fair: 4.72
Away Win (2)
21.0%
Fair: 4.76
Over 2.5 Goals
70.6%
Fair: 1.42
BTTS: Yes
67.5%
Fair: 1.48
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Paris Saint-Germain | Metric | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| #1 (20 pts) | League Rank & Points | #3 (17 pts) |
| 6W-2D-1L | Season Record (9 MP) | 5W-2D-2L |
| 21 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 15 : 7 |
| 24.0 / 11.5 | Season xG / xGA | 14.5 / 10.4 |
| 19.7 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 15.1 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
5 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 1.35 | 5.45 | 8.60 | 1.55 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_GBR | 1.35 | 5.45 | 8.60 | 1.55 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.50 | 8.00 | 1.62 |
| Caliente | 1.38 | 5.10 | 7.00 | - |
| Tipico | 1.28 | 6.00 | 8.20 | 2.25 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-19
1 - 2
2025-11-09
2 - 3
2025-02-23
2 - 3
2024-12-15
3 - 1
2024-05-25
1 - 2