Sat 21 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Lille
Rank #2 · 18 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.48 – 1.44
Lyon
Rank #3 · 17 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
37.5%
Fair: 2.67
Draw (X)
27.0%
Fair: 3.70
Away Win (2)
35.5%
Fair: 2.82
Over 2.5 Goals
55.9%
Fair: 1.79
BTTS: Yes
60.1%
Fair: 1.66
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Lille | Metric | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| #2 (18 pts) | League Rank & Points | #3 (17 pts) |
| 5W-3D-1L | Season Record (9 MP) | 5W-2D-2L |
| 12 : 6 | Goals For : Against | 15 : 7 |
| 12.9 / 13.5 | Season xG / xGA | 14.5 / 10.4 |
| 12.8 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 15.1 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
4 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 1.57 |
| Paddy Power | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 1.57 |
| Tipico | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 1.60 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-01
1 - 0
2026-01-11
1 - 2
2025-09-28
0 - 1
2025-04-05
2 - 1
2024-11-01
1 - 1