Sat 21 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Lens
Rank #9 · 13 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.75 – 1.60
Toulouse
Rank #12 · 10 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
40.6%
Fair: 2.46
Draw (X)
24.8%
Fair: 4.03
Away Win (2)
34.6%
Fair: 2.89
Over 2.5 Goals
65.0%
Fair: 1.54
BTTS: Yes
66.9%
Fair: 1.49
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Lens | Metric | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| #9 (13 pts) | League Rank & Points | #12 (10 pts) |
| 4W-1D-4L | Season Record (9 MP) | 2W-4D-3L |
| 16 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 12 : 13 |
| 15.4 / 13.8 | Season xG / xGA | 16.9 / 12.0 |
| 13.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 15.9 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
4 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.53 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.53 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.53 |
| Tipico | 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.70 | 2.40 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-04-21
4 - 1
2026-04-17
3 - 2
2026-01-02
0 - 3
2025-05-10
1 - 1
2025-01-05
0 - 1