Sun 01 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Marseille
Rank #6 · 15 pts
2 – 0
Full Time
Toulouse
Rank #12 · 10 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
34.7%
Fair: 2.88
Draw (X)
23.7%
Fair: 4.22
Away Win (2)
41.5%
Fair: 2.41
Over 2.5 Goals
69.2%
Fair: 1.45
BTTS: Yes
70.1%
Fair: 1.43
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Marseille | Metric | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| #6 (15 pts) | League Rank & Points | #12 (10 pts) |
| 5W-0D-4L | Season Record (9 MP) | 2W-4D-3L |
| 20 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 12 : 13 |
| 14.8 / 20.4 | Season xG / xGA | 16.9 / 12.0 |
| 9.8 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 15.9 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
17 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.53 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_DEU | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.65 | 1.50 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.65 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 1.02 ↓45.5% | 21.00 | 151.00 | 3.00 |
| Betfred | 1.85 | 3.95 | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| Bwin | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.65 | 1.45 |
| Caliente | 1.92 | 4.00 | 3.50 | - |
| Interwetten | 1.03 | 16.00 | 95.00 | - |
| Letsbet | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.40 |
| Novibet | 1.88 | 3.95 | 3.75 | - |
| Paddy Power | 1.07 ↓25.7% | 12.00 | 41.00 | 1.91 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.44 |
| Tipico | 1.03 ↓28% | 16.00 | 95.00 | - |
| Unibet | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.65 | 1.45 |
| Unibet / Stake | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.65 | 1.45 |
| Winamax | 1.85 | 3.95 | 3.55 | 1.40 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-03-07
0 - 1
2026-03-04
2 - 2
2025-11-29
2 - 2
2025-04-06
3 - 2
2024-08-31
1 - 3