Tue 27 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
Sassuolo
Rank #17 · 8 pts
2 – 6
Full Time
Match xG: 0.76 – 3.57
Lazio
Rank #1 · 28 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
33.7%
Fair: 2.97
Draw (X)
26.3%
Fair: 3.80
Away Win (2)
40.0%
Fair: 2.50
Over 2.5 Goals
58.3%
Fair: 1.72
BTTS: Yes
61.8%
Fair: 1.62
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Sassuolo | Metric | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| #17 (8 pts) | League Rank & Points | #1 (28 pts) |
| 2W-2D-6L | Season Record (10 MP) | 9W-1D-0L |
| 16 : 26 | Goals For : Against | 24 : 8 |
| 14.0 / 18.4 | Season xG / xGA | 16.5 / 11.3 |
| 11.4 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 17.0 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
4 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_DEU | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.57 |
| Novibet | 3.30 | 3.55 | 2.15 | 1.57 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-03-09
2 - 1
2025-09-14
1 - 0
2024-05-26
1 - 1
2023-10-21
0 - 2
2023-05-03
2 - 0