Tue 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC
Roma
Rank #3 · 24 pts
4 – 2
Full Time
Match xG: 2.87 – 2.61
Cagliari
Rank #12 · 13 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
61.8%
Fair: 1.62
Draw (X)
20.5%
Fair: 4.88
Away Win (2)
17.6%
Fair: 5.68
Over 2.5 Goals
68.8%
Fair: 1.45
BTTS: Yes
64.1%
Fair: 1.56
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Roma | Metric | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| #3 (24 pts) | League Rank & Points | #12 (13 pts) |
| 7W-3D-0L | Season Record (10 MP) | 4W-1D-5L |
| 28 : 10 | Goals For : Against | 9 : 15 |
| 22.8 / 14.2 | Season xG / xGA | 12.5 / 18.4 |
| 19.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 10.5 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
5 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 1.35 | 4.95 | 10.05 | 1.95 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_GBR | 1.35 | 4.95 | 10.05 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 9.50 | 1.95 |
| Caliente | 1.32 | 4.90 | 10.00 | - |
| Tipico | 1.30 | 5.20 | 10.00 | 1.87 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-02-09
2 - 0
2025-12-07
1 - 0
2025-03-16
1 - 0
2024-08-18
0 - 0
2024-02-05
4 - 0