Sun 11 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
Rio Ave
Rank #16 · 7 pts
3 – 2
Full Time
Nacional
Rank #15 · 7 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
35.9%
Fair: 2.79
Draw (X)
29.5%
Fair: 3.39
Away Win (2)
34.6%
Fair: 2.89
Over 2.5 Goals
45.8%
Fair: 2.18
BTTS: Yes
52.3%
Fair: 1.91
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Rio Ave | Metric | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| #16 (7 pts) | League Rank & Points | #15 (7 pts) |
| 2W-1D-7L | Season Record (10 MP) | 2W-1D-7L |
| 9 : 23 | Goals For : Against | 10 : 19 |
| 7.3 / 17.6 | Season xG / xGA | 10.7 / 17.4 |
| 7.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 10.1 xPTS |