Sun 13 Sep 2026, 18:00 UTC
PSV Eindhoven
Rank #3 · 23 pts
4 – 1
Full Time
Sparta Rotterdam
Rank #11 · 12 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
58.5%
Fair: 1.71
Draw (X)
19.7%
Fair: 5.08
Away Win (2)
21.9%
Fair: 4.57
Over 2.5 Goals
77.6%
Fair: 1.29
BTTS: Yes
73.3%
Fair: 1.36
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| PSV Eindhoven | Metric | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| #3 (23 pts) | League Rank & Points | #11 (12 pts) |
| 7W-2D-2L | Season Record (11 MP) | 3W-3D-5L |
| 35 : 13 | Goals For : Against | 20 : 26 |
| 27.8 / 13.8 | Season xG / xGA | 22.0 / 21.4 |
| 23.5 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 15.8 xPTS |