Fri 27 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Nottingham Forest
Rank #19 · 6 ptsVS
Proj. xG: 1.72 – 1.20
Chelsea
Rank #4 · 16 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
48.5%
Fair: 2.06
Draw (X)
26.0%
Fair: 3.85
Away Win (2)
25.5%
Fair: 3.92
Over 2.5 Goals
55.7%
Fair: 1.80
BTTS: Yes
58.4%
Fair: 1.71
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Nottingham Forest | Metric | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| #19 (6 pts) | League Rank & Points | #4 (16 pts) |
| 1W-3D-5L | Season Record (9 MP) | 5W-1D-3L |
| 6 : 12 | Goals For : Against | 19 : 15 |
| 14.6 / 9.3 | Season xG / xGA | 13.3 / 12.6 |
| 16.1 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 12.9 xPTS |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2026-05-04
1 - 3
2025-10-18
0 - 3
2025-05-25
0 - 1
2024-10-06
1 - 1
2024-05-11
2 - 3