Sat 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Rank #13 · 11 pts
0 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 0.99 – 1.57
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Rank #10 · 12 pts

AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds

Home Win (1)
40.9%
Fair: 2.44
Draw (X)
27.2%
Fair: 3.68
Away Win (2)
31.9%
Fair: 3.13
Over 2.5 Goals
54.2%
Fair: 1.85
BTTS: Yes
58.6%
Fair: 1.71

2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape

Newcastle United Metric Aston Villa
#13 (11 pts) League Rank & Points #10 (12 pts)
3W-2D-4L Season Record (9 MP) 3W-3D-3L
12 : 15 Goals For : Against 10 : 13
10.4 / 16.0 Season xG / xGA 10.9 / 15.1
8.3 xPTS Expected Points (xPTS) 10.4 xPTS