Sat 17 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Newcastle United
Rank #13 · 11 pts
0 – 1
Full Time
Match xG: 0.99 – 1.57
Aston Villa
Rank #10 · 12 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
40.9%
Fair: 2.44
Draw (X)
27.2%
Fair: 3.68
Away Win (2)
31.9%
Fair: 3.13
Over 2.5 Goals
54.2%
Fair: 1.85
BTTS: Yes
58.6%
Fair: 1.71
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Newcastle United | Metric | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| #13 (11 pts) | League Rank & Points | #10 (12 pts) |
| 3W-2D-4L | Season Record (9 MP) | 3W-3D-3L |
| 12 : 15 | Goals For : Against | 10 : 13 |
| 10.4 / 16.0 | Season xG / xGA | 10.9 / 15.1 |
| 8.3 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 10.4 xPTS |