Wed 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC
Monza
Rank #18 · 7 pts
1 – 4
Full Time
Match xG: 1.17 – 1.78
Napoli
Rank #8 · 14 pts
AI Model Probabilities & Implied Fair Odds
Home Win (1)
40.6%
Fair: 2.46
Draw (X)
25.6%
Fair: 3.91
Away Win (2)
33.8%
Fair: 2.96
Over 2.5 Goals
61.1%
Fair: 1.64
BTTS: Yes
63.9%
Fair: 1.56
2026/27 Quantitative Tale of the Tape
| Monza | Metric | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| #18 (7 pts) | League Rank & Points | #8 (14 pts) |
| 2W-1D-7L | Season Record (10 MP) | 4W-2D-4L |
| 17 : 24 | Goals For : Against | 17 : 13 |
| 16.1 / 14.7 | Season xG / xGA | 17.4 / 12.9 |
| 14.7 xPTS | Expected Points (xPTS) | 16.9 xPTS |
Multi-Bookmaker Odds & Smart-Money Drop Scanner
17 bookmakers tracked| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) | BTTS Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.83 | 4.36 | 1.56 | 1.65 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_ESP | 4.45 | 4.00 | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| AMBIGUOUS_BRAND_FRA | 4.45 | 4.00 | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 3.00 | 1.80 | - |
| Betfred | 5.60 | 4.10 | 1.55 | 1.60 |
| Bwin | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.65 | 1.60 |
| Caliente | 4.45 | 3.95 | 1.71 | - |
| Interwetten | 100.00 | 17.00 | 1.02 | 1.75 |
| Letsbet | 5.15 | 4.35 | 1.45 | 1.55 |
| Novibet | 4.75 | 3.95 | 1.70 | - |
| Paddy Power | 5.25 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| Tipico | 300.00 | 15.00 | 1.01 | 1.65 |
| Unibet | 5.00 | 4.25 | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Unibet / Stake | 4.95 | 4.20 | 1.50 ↓16.7% | 1.60 |
| Winamax | 5.60 | 4.20 | 1.55 | 1.65 |
Recent Head-to-Head Meetings
2025-04-19
0 - 1
2024-09-29
2 - 0
2024-04-07
2 - 4
2023-12-29
0 - 0
2023-05-14
2 - 0